{
  "reviewed": "2026-10-25",
  "definition": "Youth aged 15–24 years, both sexes; not ethnicity-specific.",
  "state_source": {
    "publisher": "National Population Commission, Abuja, Nigeria",
    "title": "Nigeria Population Projections and Demographic Indicators: National and States",
    "publication": "July 2020",
    "url": "https://factcheckhub.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/national-population-commission-Projection_2022.pdf",
    "hosting_note": "Primary NPC-authored report, reproduced on FactCheckHub; publisher identity and July2020 date verified on title/imprint pages.",
    "sha256": "a9f403aaaed2c81d908f7ce3efbb612cce975952abfc30dbf1175b5eadc59852",
    "method": "NPC cohort-component projection using Spectrum5/DemProj, validated on MORTPAK; base2006 age structure smoothed using Arriaga Light without changing state population totals. See methodology printedpp5–7."
  },
  "states": {
    "Lagos": {
      "reported_table": "3.2. 49",
      "projection_table": "3.2. 50",
      "series": [
        {
          "year": 2006,
          "kind": "reported census",
          "total_population": 9113605,
          "age15_19": 865515,
          "age20_24": 1092406,
          "youth15_24": 1957921,
          "youth_share_percent": 21.483496
        },
        {
          "year": 2007,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 9383057,
          "age15_19": 846901,
          "age20_24": 1109647,
          "youth15_24": 1956548,
          "youth_share_percent": 20.851925
        },
        {
          "year": 2008,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 9660057,
          "age15_19": 828378,
          "age20_24": 1055668,
          "youth15_24": 1884046,
          "youth_share_percent": 19.503467
        },
        {
          "year": 2009,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 9948305,
          "age15_19": 822507,
          "age20_24": 992795,
          "youth15_24": 1815302,
          "youth_share_percent": 18.24735
        },
        {
          "year": 2010,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 10246131,
          "age15_19": 826224,
          "age20_24": 933405,
          "youth15_24": 1759629,
          "youth_share_percent": 17.173595
        },
        {
          "year": 2011,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 10551625,
          "age15_19": 837039,
          "age20_24": 886537,
          "youth15_24": 1723576,
          "youth_share_percent": 16.334697
        },
        {
          "year": 2012,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 10862618,
          "age15_19": 854947,
          "age20_24": 855042,
          "youth15_24": 1709989,
          "youth_share_percent": 15.74196
        },
        {
          "year": 2013,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 11177409,
          "age15_19": 880326,
          "age20_24": 837202,
          "youth15_24": 1717528,
          "youth_share_percent": 15.366066
        },
        {
          "year": 2014,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 11477699,
          "age15_19": 911033,
          "age20_24": 831704,
          "youth15_24": 1742737,
          "youth_share_percent": 15.183679
        },
        {
          "year": 2015,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 11763161,
          "age15_19": 944541,
          "age20_24": 835579,
          "youth15_24": 1780120,
          "youth_share_percent": 15.133007
        },
        {
          "year": 2016,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 12033445,
          "age15_19": 978705,
          "age20_24": 846398,
          "youth15_24": 1825103,
          "youth_share_percent": 15.16692
        },
        {
          "year": 2017,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 12288839,
          "age15_19": 1010368,
          "age20_24": 864162,
          "youth15_24": 1874530,
          "youth_share_percent": 15.253923
        },
        {
          "year": 2018,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 12531530,
          "age15_19": 1037059,
          "age20_24": 889284,
          "youth15_24": 1926343,
          "youth_share_percent": 15.37197
        },
        {
          "year": 2019,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 12772884,
          "age15_19": 1059784,
          "age20_24": 919670,
          "youth15_24": 1979454,
          "youth_share_percent": 15.497314
        },
        {
          "year": 2020,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 13012971,
          "age15_19": 1082584,
          "age20_24": 952845,
          "youth15_24": 2035429,
          "youth_share_percent": 15.64154
        },
        {
          "year": 2021,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 13252387,
          "age15_19": 1109459,
          "age20_24": 986740,
          "youth15_24": 2096199,
          "youth_share_percent": 15.81752
        },
        {
          "year": 2022,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 13491804,
          "age15_19": 1184957,
          "age20_24": 1018238,
          "youth15_24": 2203195,
          "youth_share_percent": 16.329877
        }
      ]
    },
    "Ogun": {
      "reported_table": "3.2. 55",
      "projection_table": "3.2. 56",
      "series": [
        {
          "year": 2006,
          "kind": "reported census",
          "total_population": 3751140,
          "age15_19": 370542,
          "age20_24": 369024,
          "youth15_24": 739566,
          "youth_share_percent": 19.715766
        },
        {
          "year": 2007,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 3912666,
          "age15_19": 381867,
          "age20_24": 384411,
          "youth15_24": 766278,
          "youth_share_percent": 19.584549
        },
        {
          "year": 2008,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 4078465,
          "age15_19": 388842,
          "age20_24": 386134,
          "youth15_24": 774976,
          "youth_share_percent": 19.001659
        },
        {
          "year": 2009,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 4249256,
          "age15_19": 397872,
          "age20_24": 386608,
          "youth15_24": 784480,
          "youth_share_percent": 18.461585
        },
        {
          "year": 2010,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 4424849,
          "age15_19": 408675,
          "age20_24": 387538,
          "youth15_24": 796213,
          "youth_share_percent": 17.994128
        },
        {
          "year": 2011,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 4605110,
          "age15_19": 420977,
          "age20_24": 390218,
          "youth15_24": 811195,
          "youth_share_percent": 17.615106
        },
        {
          "year": 2012,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 4789518,
          "age15_19": 434774,
          "age20_24": 395095,
          "youth15_24": 829869,
          "youth_share_percent": 17.326775
        },
        {
          "year": 2013,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 4977824,
          "age15_19": 450019,
          "age20_24": 402038,
          "youth15_24": 852057,
          "youth_share_percent": 17.117058
        },
        {
          "year": 2014,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 5158612,
          "age15_19": 466265,
          "age20_24": 411009,
          "youth15_24": 877274,
          "youth_share_percent": 17.006009
        },
        {
          "year": 2015,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 5331389,
          "age15_19": 482934,
          "age20_24": 421730,
          "youth15_24": 904664,
          "youth_share_percent": 16.968636
        },
        {
          "year": 2016,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 5495738,
          "age15_19": 499529,
          "age20_24": 433921,
          "youth15_24": 933450,
          "youth_share_percent": 16.98498
        },
        {
          "year": 2017,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 5651466,
          "age15_19": 513861,
          "age20_24": 447584,
          "youth15_24": 961445,
          "youth_share_percent": 17.012311
        },
        {
          "year": 2018,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 5798744,
          "age15_19": 526338,
          "age20_24": 462708,
          "youth15_24": 989046,
          "youth_share_percent": 17.056211
        },
        {
          "year": 2019,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 5945275,
          "age15_19": 537575,
          "age20_24": 478834,
          "youth15_24": 1016409,
          "youth_share_percent": 17.096081
        },
        {
          "year": 2020,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 6090740,
          "age15_19": 549663,
          "age20_24": 495404,
          "youth15_24": 1045067,
          "youth_share_percent": 17.158293
        },
        {
          "year": 2021,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 6235389,
          "age15_19": 565349,
          "age20_24": 511945,
          "youth15_24": 1077294,
          "youth_share_percent": 17.277094
        },
        {
          "year": 2022,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 6379532,
          "age15_19": 618977,
          "age20_24": 526291,
          "youth15_24": 1145268,
          "youth_share_percent": 17.952226
        }
      ]
    },
    "Oyo": {
      "reported_table": "3.2. 61",
      "projection_table": "3.2. 62",
      "series": [
        {
          "year": 2006,
          "kind": "reported census",
          "total_population": 5580894,
          "age15_19": 595924,
          "age20_24": 545250,
          "youth15_24": 1141174,
          "youth_share_percent": 20.447871
        },
        {
          "year": 2007,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 5724321,
          "age15_19": 606843,
          "age20_24": 565640,
          "youth15_24": 1172483,
          "youth_share_percent": 20.482482
        },
        {
          "year": 2008,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 5870883,
          "age15_19": 613448,
          "age20_24": 570022,
          "youth15_24": 1183470,
          "youth_share_percent": 20.158296
        },
        {
          "year": 2009,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 6017535,
          "age15_19": 620610,
          "age20_24": 573686,
          "youth15_24": 1194296,
          "youth_share_percent": 19.846931
        },
        {
          "year": 2010,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 6164227,
          "age15_19": 627796,
          "age20_24": 577542,
          "youth15_24": 1205338,
          "youth_share_percent": 19.553758
        },
        {
          "year": 2011,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 6310726,
          "age15_19": 634595,
          "age20_24": 582225,
          "youth15_24": 1216820,
          "youth_share_percent": 19.281775
        },
        {
          "year": 2012,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 6456569,
          "age15_19": 640852,
          "age20_24": 587966,
          "youth15_24": 1228818,
          "youth_share_percent": 19.032059
        },
        {
          "year": 2013,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 6601542,
          "age15_19": 646605,
          "age20_24": 594577,
          "youth15_24": 1241182,
          "youth_share_percent": 18.801395
        },
        {
          "year": 2014,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 6749107,
          "age15_19": 651867,
          "age20_24": 601747,
          "youth15_24": 1253614,
          "youth_share_percent": 18.574517
        },
        {
          "year": 2015,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 6898796,
          "age15_19": 656704,
          "age20_24": 608949,
          "youth15_24": 1265653,
          "youth_share_percent": 18.345998
        },
        {
          "year": 2016,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 7050013,
          "age15_19": 661114,
          "age20_24": 615762,
          "youth15_24": 1276876,
          "youth_share_percent": 18.111683
        },
        {
          "year": 2017,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 7202908,
          "age15_19": 658746,
          "age20_24": 622056,
          "youth15_24": 1280802,
          "youth_share_percent": 17.781735
        },
        {
          "year": 2018,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 7358018,
          "age15_19": 656384,
          "age20_24": 627894,
          "youth15_24": 1284278,
          "youth_share_percent": 17.45413
        },
        {
          "year": 2019,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 7512855,
          "age15_19": 654736,
          "age20_24": 633282,
          "youth15_24": 1288018,
          "youth_share_percent": 17.144188
        },
        {
          "year": 2020,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 7667318,
          "age15_19": 656370,
          "age20_24": 638277,
          "youth15_24": 1294647,
          "youth_share_percent": 16.885265
        },
        {
          "year": 2021,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 7821434,
          "age15_19": 664056,
          "age20_24": 642887,
          "youth15_24": 1306943,
          "youth_share_percent": 16.709762
        },
        {
          "year": 2022,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 7976081,
          "age15_19": 724925,
          "age20_24": 640860,
          "youth15_24": 1365785,
          "youth_share_percent": 17.12351
        }
      ]
    },
    "Osun": {
      "reported_table": "3.2. 59",
      "projection_table": "3.2. 60",
      "series": [
        {
          "year": 2006,
          "kind": "reported census",
          "total_population": 3416959,
          "age15_19": 396824,
          "age20_24": 349578,
          "youth15_24": 746402,
          "youth_share_percent": 21.844043
        },
        {
          "year": 2007,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 3469426,
          "age15_19": 393954,
          "age20_24": 355849,
          "youth15_24": 749803,
          "youth_share_percent": 21.611731
        },
        {
          "year": 2008,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 3524558,
          "age15_19": 397479,
          "age20_24": 359988,
          "youth15_24": 757467,
          "youth_share_percent": 21.49112
        },
        {
          "year": 2009,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 3582296,
          "age15_19": 400518,
          "age20_24": 363819,
          "youth15_24": 764337,
          "youth_share_percent": 21.336512
        },
        {
          "year": 2010,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 3642607,
          "age15_19": 402558,
          "age20_24": 367516,
          "youth15_24": 770074,
          "youth_share_percent": 21.140738
        },
        {
          "year": 2011,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 3705505,
          "age15_19": 403255,
          "age20_24": 371146,
          "youth15_24": 774401,
          "youth_share_percent": 20.898663
        },
        {
          "year": 2012,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 3770635,
          "age15_19": 402430,
          "age20_24": 374796,
          "youth15_24": 777226,
          "youth_share_percent": 20.612602
        },
        {
          "year": 2013,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 3837823,
          "age15_19": 400189,
          "age20_24": 378343,
          "youth15_24": 778532,
          "youth_share_percent": 20.285771
        },
        {
          "year": 2014,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 3905483,
          "age15_19": 396894,
          "age20_24": 381430,
          "youth15_24": 778324,
          "youth_share_percent": 19.929008
        },
        {
          "year": 2015,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 3973037,
          "age15_19": 393001,
          "age20_24": 383538,
          "youth15_24": 776539,
          "youth_share_percent": 19.545224
        },
        {
          "year": 2016,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 4040045,
          "age15_19": 388857,
          "age20_24": 384318,
          "youth15_24": 773175,
          "youth_share_percent": 19.137782
        },
        {
          "year": 2017,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 4106177,
          "age15_19": 378797,
          "age20_24": 383611,
          "youth15_24": 762408,
          "youth_share_percent": 18.567344
        },
        {
          "year": 2018,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 4171661,
          "age15_19": 370062,
          "age20_24": 381532,
          "youth15_24": 751594,
          "youth_share_percent": 18.016661
        },
        {
          "year": 2019,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 4237396,
          "age15_19": 363040,
          "age20_24": 378423,
          "youth15_24": 741463,
          "youth_share_percent": 17.498081
        },
        {
          "year": 2020,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 4303366,
          "age15_19": 359184,
          "age20_24": 374746,
          "youth15_24": 733930,
          "youth_share_percent": 17.054789
        },
        {
          "year": 2021,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 4369473,
          "age15_19": 360277,
          "age20_24": 370836,
          "youth15_24": 731113,
          "youth_share_percent": 16.732292
        },
        {
          "year": 2022,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 4435803,
          "age15_19": 379672,
          "age20_24": 361110,
          "youth15_24": 740782,
          "youth_share_percent": 16.700065
        }
      ]
    },
    "Ondo": {
      "reported_table": "3.2. 57",
      "projection_table": "3.2. 58",
      "series": [
        {
          "year": 2006,
          "kind": "reported census",
          "total_population": 3460877,
          "age15_19": 391248,
          "age20_24": 339862,
          "youth15_24": 731110,
          "youth_share_percent": 21.124992
        },
        {
          "year": 2007,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 3561438,
          "age15_19": 395685,
          "age20_24": 353586,
          "youth15_24": 749271,
          "youth_share_percent": 21.03844
        },
        {
          "year": 2008,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 3665577,
          "age15_19": 403238,
          "age20_24": 361843,
          "youth15_24": 765081,
          "youth_share_percent": 20.872048
        },
        {
          "year": 2009,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 3774531,
          "age15_19": 410450,
          "age20_24": 369883,
          "youth15_24": 780333,
          "youth_share_percent": 20.673641
        },
        {
          "year": 2010,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 3888324,
          "age15_19": 417020,
          "age20_24": 377744,
          "youth15_24": 794764,
          "youth_share_percent": 20.439758
        },
        {
          "year": 2011,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 4007005,
          "age15_19": 422733,
          "age20_24": 385450,
          "youth15_24": 808183,
          "youth_share_percent": 20.169254
        },
        {
          "year": 2012,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 4130312,
          "age15_19": 427443,
          "age20_24": 393068,
          "youth15_24": 820511,
          "youth_share_percent": 19.865594
        },
        {
          "year": 2013,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 4258213,
          "age15_19": 431188,
          "age20_24": 400569,
          "youth15_24": 831757,
          "youth_share_percent": 19.533006
        },
        {
          "year": 2014,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 4384163,
          "age15_19": 434177,
          "age20_24": 407750,
          "youth15_24": 841927,
          "youth_share_percent": 19.203825
        },
        {
          "year": 2015,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 4507463,
          "age15_19": 436672,
          "age20_24": 414310,
          "youth15_24": 850982,
          "youth_share_percent": 18.879401
        },
        {
          "year": 2016,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 4627488,
          "age15_19": 438860,
          "age20_24": 420021,
          "youth15_24": 858881,
          "youth_share_percent": 18.560415
        },
        {
          "year": 2017,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 4743667,
          "age15_19": 435690,
          "age20_24": 424753,
          "youth15_24": 860443,
          "youth_share_percent": 18.138773
        },
        {
          "year": 2018,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 4856143,
          "age15_19": 432998,
          "age20_24": 428563,
          "youth15_24": 861561,
          "youth_share_percent": 17.741673
        },
        {
          "year": 2019,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 4969707,
          "age15_19": 431237,
          "age20_24": 431643,
          "youth15_24": 862880,
          "youth_share_percent": 17.362794
        },
        {
          "year": 2020,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 5084330,
          "age15_19": 432036,
          "age20_24": 434260,
          "youth15_24": 866296,
          "youth_share_percent": 17.038548
        },
        {
          "year": 2021,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 5199832,
          "age15_19": 437382,
          "age20_24": 436595,
          "youth15_24": 873977,
          "youth_share_percent": 16.807793
        },
        {
          "year": 2022,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 5316603,
          "age15_19": 472474,
          "age20_24": 433673,
          "youth15_24": 906147,
          "youth_share_percent": 17.043721
        }
      ]
    },
    "Ekiti": {
      "reported_table": "3.2. 27",
      "projection_table": "3.2. 28",
      "series": [
        {
          "year": 2006,
          "kind": "reported census",
          "total_population": 2398957,
          "age15_19": 296311,
          "age20_24": 261715,
          "youth15_24": 558026,
          "youth_share_percent": 23.261192
        },
        {
          "year": 2007,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 2464735,
          "age15_19": 294846,
          "age20_24": 260038,
          "youth15_24": 554884,
          "youth_share_percent": 22.512927
        },
        {
          "year": 2008,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 2532953,
          "age15_19": 299150,
          "age20_24": 266188,
          "youth15_24": 565338,
          "youth_share_percent": 22.319325
        },
        {
          "year": 2009,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 2601870,
          "age15_19": 302636,
          "age20_24": 272124,
          "youth15_24": 574760,
          "youth_share_percent": 22.090266
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        {
          "year": 2010,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 2671288,
          "age15_19": 304854,
          "age20_24": 277733,
          "youth15_24": 582587,
          "youth_share_percent": 21.809217
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        {
          "year": 2011,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 2740939,
          "age15_19": 305506,
          "age20_24": 282894,
          "youth15_24": 588400,
          "youth_share_percent": 21.467096
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        {
          "year": 2012,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 2810358,
          "age15_19": 304422,
          "age20_24": 287649,
          "youth15_24": 592071,
          "youth_share_percent": 21.067458
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        {
          "year": 2013,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 2879180,
          "age15_19": 301721,
          "age20_24": 291943,
          "youth15_24": 593664,
          "youth_share_percent": 20.619204
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        {
          "year": 2014,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 2951454,
          "age15_19": 297845,
          "age20_24": 295441,
          "youth15_24": 593286,
          "youth_share_percent": 20.101482
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        {
          "year": 2015,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 3026741,
          "age15_19": 293348,
          "age20_24": 297693,
          "youth15_24": 591041,
          "youth_share_percent": 19.527307
        },
        {
          "year": 2016,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 3104755,
          "age15_19": 288650,
          "age20_24": 298407,
          "youth15_24": 587057,
          "youth_share_percent": 18.90832
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        {
          "year": 2017,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 3185220,
          "age15_19": 278610,
          "age20_24": 297413,
          "youth15_24": 576023,
          "youth_share_percent": 18.084245
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        {
          "year": 2018,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 3268175,
          "age15_19": 270068,
          "age20_24": 294848,
          "youth15_24": 564916,
          "youth_share_percent": 17.285366
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        {
          "year": 2019,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 3350401,
          "age15_19": 263278,
          "age20_24": 291135,
          "youth15_24": 554413,
          "youth_share_percent": 16.547661
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        {
          "year": 2020,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 3431742,
          "age15_19": 259212,
          "age20_24": 286826,
          "youth15_24": 546038,
          "youth_share_percent": 15.911394
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        {
          "year": 2021,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 3512293,
          "age15_19": 259186,
          "age20_24": 282330,
          "youth15_24": 541516,
          "youth_share_percent": 15.417734
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        {
          "year": 2022,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 3592163,
          "age15_19": 291532,
          "age20_24": 272578,
          "youth15_24": 564110,
          "youth_share_percent": 15.703909
        }
      ]
    },
    "Kwara": {
      "reported_table": "3.2. 47",
      "projection_table": "3.2. 48",
      "series": [
        {
          "year": 2006,
          "kind": "reported census",
          "total_population": 2365353,
          "age15_19": 243307,
          "age20_24": 218023,
          "youth15_24": 461330,
          "youth_share_percent": 19.503643
        },
        {
          "year": 2007,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 2415629,
          "age15_19": 243241,
          "age20_24": 227038,
          "youth15_24": 470279,
          "youth_share_percent": 19.46818
        },
        {
          "year": 2008,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 2468744,
          "age15_19": 247814,
          "age20_24": 227927,
          "youth15_24": 475741,
          "youth_share_percent": 19.270568
        },
        {
          "year": 2009,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 2525690,
          "age15_19": 253655,
          "age20_24": 228514,
          "youth15_24": 482169,
          "youth_share_percent": 19.090585
        },
        {
          "year": 2010,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 2586148,
          "age15_19": 260788,
          "age20_24": 229591,
          "youth15_24": 490379,
          "youth_share_percent": 18.961753
        },
        {
          "year": 2011,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 2650004,
          "age15_19": 269197,
          "age20_24": 231753,
          "youth15_24": 500950,
          "youth_share_percent": 18.903745
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        {
          "year": 2012,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 2716873,
          "age15_19": 278920,
          "age20_24": 235138,
          "youth15_24": 514058,
          "youth_share_percent": 18.920943
        },
        {
          "year": 2013,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 2786756,
          "age15_19": 289855,
          "age20_24": 239677,
          "youth15_24": 529532,
          "youth_share_percent": 19.001735
        },
        {
          "year": 2014,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 2858762,
          "age15_19": 301574,
          "age20_24": 245466,
          "youth15_24": 547040,
          "youth_share_percent": 19.135556
        },
        {
          "year": 2015,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 2933031,
          "age15_19": 313549,
          "age20_24": 252530,
          "youth15_24": 566079,
          "youth_share_percent": 19.300137
        },
        {
          "year": 2016,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 3009755,
          "age15_19": 325357,
          "age20_24": 260846,
          "youth15_24": 586203,
          "youth_share_percent": 19.476768
        },
        {
          "year": 2017,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 3089231,
          "age15_19": 336991,
          "age20_24": 270456,
          "youth15_24": 607447,
          "youth_share_percent": 19.663373
        },
        {
          "year": 2018,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 3172216,
          "age15_19": 346697,
          "age20_24": 281276,
          "youth15_24": 627973,
          "youth_share_percent": 19.796035
        },
        {
          "year": 2019,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 3259613,
          "age15_19": 354943,
          "age20_24": 292878,
          "youth15_24": 647821,
          "youth_share_percent": 19.874169
        },
        {
          "year": 2020,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 3351720,
          "age15_19": 363291,
          "age20_24": 304751,
          "youth15_24": 668042,
          "youth_share_percent": 19.931319
        },
        {
          "year": 2021,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 3448777,
          "age15_19": 373511,
          "age20_24": 316482,
          "youth15_24": 689993,
          "youth_share_percent": 20.006889
        },
        {
          "year": 2022,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 3551023,
          "age15_19": 372148,
          "age20_24": 328069,
          "youth15_24": 700217,
          "youth_share_percent": 19.71874
        }
      ]
    },
    "Kogi": {
      "reported_table": "3.2. 45",
      "projection_table": "3.2. 46",
      "series": [
        {
          "year": 2006,
          "kind": "reported census",
          "total_population": 3314043,
          "age15_19": 344409,
          "age20_24": 294036,
          "youth15_24": 638445,
          "youth_share_percent": 19.264838
        },
        {
          "year": 2007,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 3352369,
          "age15_19": 339958,
          "age20_24": 309073,
          "youth15_24": 649031,
          "youth_share_percent": 19.360369
        },
        {
          "year": 2008,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 3396391,
          "age15_19": 347119,
          "age20_24": 311157,
          "youth15_24": 658276,
          "youth_share_percent": 19.381632
        },
        {
          "year": 2009,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 3444522,
          "age15_19": 356060,
          "age20_24": 313047,
          "youth15_24": 669107,
          "youth_share_percent": 19.42525
        },
        {
          "year": 2010,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 3496074,
          "age15_19": 367001,
          "age20_24": 315656,
          "youth15_24": 682657,
          "youth_share_percent": 19.526389
        },
        {
          "year": 2011,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 3550841,
          "age15_19": 380020,
          "age20_24": 319671,
          "youth15_24": 699691,
          "youth_share_percent": 19.704938
        },
        {
          "year": 2012,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 3608382,
          "age15_19": 395176,
          "age20_24": 325230,
          "youth15_24": 720406,
          "youth_share_percent": 19.964793
        },
        {
          "year": 2013,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 3668755,
          "age15_19": 412231,
          "age20_24": 332288,
          "youth15_24": 744519,
          "youth_share_percent": 20.293506
        },
        {
          "year": 2014,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 3734782,
          "age15_19": 430418,
          "age20_24": 341087,
          "youth15_24": 771505,
          "youth_share_percent": 20.657297
        },
        {
          "year": 2015,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 3806551,
          "age15_19": 448825,
          "age20_24": 351847,
          "youth15_24": 800672,
          "youth_share_percent": 21.034054
        },
        {
          "year": 2016,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 3884218,
          "age15_19": 466726,
          "age20_24": 364644,
          "youth15_24": 831370,
          "youth_share_percent": 21.403794
        },
        {
          "year": 2017,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 3967919,
          "age15_19": 484812,
          "age20_24": 379535,
          "youth15_24": 864347,
          "youth_share_percent": 21.783383
        },
        {
          "year": 2018,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 4058704,
          "age15_19": 499284,
          "age20_24": 396299,
          "youth15_24": 895583,
          "youth_share_percent": 22.065738
        },
        {
          "year": 2019,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 4153734,
          "age15_19": 510725,
          "age20_24": 414201,
          "youth15_24": 924926,
          "youth_share_percent": 22.267338
        },
        {
          "year": 2020,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 4253371,
          "age15_19": 521156,
          "age20_24": 432348,
          "youth15_24": 953504,
          "youth_share_percent": 22.417607
        },
        {
          "year": 2021,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 4357794,
          "age15_19": 531986,
          "age20_24": 450021,
          "youth15_24": 982007,
          "youth_share_percent": 22.534498
        },
        {
          "year": 2022,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 4466801,
          "age15_19": 502480,
          "age20_24": 467921,
          "youth15_24": 970401,
          "youth_share_percent": 21.724742
        }
      ]
    },
    "Edo": {
      "reported_table": "3.2. 25",
      "projection_table": "3.2. 26",
      "series": [
        {
          "year": 2006,
          "kind": "reported census",
          "total_population": 3233366,
          "age15_19": 362413,
          "age20_24": 354840,
          "youth15_24": 717253,
          "youth_share_percent": 22.182858
        },
        {
          "year": 2007,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 3322668,
          "age15_19": 358733,
          "age20_24": 355655,
          "youth15_24": 714388,
          "youth_share_percent": 21.500433
        },
        {
          "year": 2008,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 3414774,
          "age15_19": 361072,
          "age20_24": 354861,
          "youth15_24": 715933,
          "youth_share_percent": 20.965751
        },
        {
          "year": 2009,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 3505653,
          "age15_19": 364361,
          "age20_24": 352878,
          "youth15_24": 717239,
          "youth_share_percent": 20.459498
        },
        {
          "year": 2010,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 3595335,
          "age15_19": 367893,
          "age20_24": 351111,
          "youth15_24": 719004,
          "youth_share_percent": 19.998248
        },
        {
          "year": 2011,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 3683611,
          "age15_19": 371130,
          "age20_24": 350555,
          "youth15_24": 721685,
          "youth_share_percent": 19.591781
        },
        {
          "year": 2012,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 3770141,
          "age15_19": 373934,
          "age20_24": 351590,
          "youth15_24": 725524,
          "youth_share_percent": 19.243949
        },
        {
          "year": 2013,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 3854642,
          "age15_19": 376419,
          "age20_24": 353971,
          "youth15_24": 730390,
          "youth_share_percent": 18.948323
        },
        {
          "year": 2014,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 3944847,
          "age15_19": 378626,
          "age20_24": 357284,
          "youth15_24": 735910,
          "youth_share_percent": 18.654969
        },
        {
          "year": 2015,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 4040178,
          "age15_19": 380639,
          "age20_24": 360829,
          "youth15_24": 741468,
          "youth_share_percent": 18.35236
        },
        {
          "year": 2016,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 4140181,
          "age15_19": 382484,
          "age20_24": 364088,
          "youth15_24": 746572,
          "youth_share_percent": 18.032352
        },
        {
          "year": 2017,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 4244511,
          "age15_19": 379921,
          "age20_24": 366923,
          "youth15_24": 746844,
          "youth_share_percent": 17.595525
        },
        {
          "year": 2018,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 4353500,
          "age15_19": 377560,
          "age20_24": 369472,
          "youth15_24": 747032,
          "youth_share_percent": 17.159343
        },
        {
          "year": 2019,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 4461137,
          "age15_19": 375748,
          "age20_24": 371762,
          "youth15_24": 747510,
          "youth_share_percent": 16.756042
        },
        {
          "year": 2020,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 4567512,
          "age15_19": 375842,
          "age20_24": 373876,
          "youth15_24": 749718,
          "youth_share_percent": 16.414144
        },
        {
          "year": 2021,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 4672707,
          "age15_19": 379199,
          "age20_24": 375852,
          "youth15_24": 755051,
          "youth_share_percent": 16.158749
        },
        {
          "year": 2022,
          "kind": "NPC projection",
          "total_population": 4777042,
          "age15_19": 417921,
          "age20_24": 373509,
          "youth15_24": 791430,
          "youth_share_percent": 16.567365
        }
      ]
    }
  },
  "national_un_context": {
    "publisher": "UN DESA Population Division",
    "title": "World Population Highlights 2026: Youth",
    "publication_date": "2026-02-27",
    "url": "https://desapublications.un.org/file/22077/download",
    "underlying_series": "World Population Prospects 2024",
    "location": "Annex2, printed pages61–62, PDF pages74–75",
    "unit": "People; source printed counts in thousands, converted by multiplying1000. Shares percent of total national population; rounded to0.1percentage point.",
    "countries": {
      "Nigeria": [
        {
          "year": 2000,
          "kind": "WPP historical estimate",
          "youth15_24": 25368000,
          "youth_share_percent": 20.1
        },
        {
          "year": 2025,
          "kind": "WPP projection",
          "youth15_24": 49657000,
          "youth_share_percent": 20.9
        },
        {
          "year": 2050,
          "kind": "WPP projection",
          "youth15_24": 69406000,
          "youth_share_percent": 19.3
        }
      ],
      "Benin": [
        {
          "year": 2000,
          "kind": "WPP historical estimate",
          "youth15_24": 1402000,
          "youth_share_percent": 19.4
        },
        {
          "year": 2025,
          "kind": "WPP projection",
          "youth15_24": 2915000,
          "youth_share_percent": 19.7
        },
        {
          "year": 2050,
          "kind": "WPP projection",
          "youth15_24": 4569000,
          "youth_share_percent": 18.7
        }
      ],
      "Togo": [
        {
          "year": 2000,
          "kind": "WPP historical estimate",
          "youth15_24": 1050000,
          "youth_share_percent": 20.4
        },
        {
          "year": 2025,
          "kind": "WPP projection",
          "youth15_24": 1911000,
          "youth_share_percent": 19.7
        },
        {
          "year": 2050,
          "kind": "WPP projection",
          "youth15_24": 2869000,
          "youth_share_percent": 18.4
        }
      ]
    }
  },
  "limitations": [
    "2006 state rows are reported census counts. Every2007–2022 state row is an NPC model projection, not annual observed population data.",
    "Do not present a model trained/validated on these projections as independently predicting actual population: it would mainly approximate the NPC projection model.",
    "State youth15–24 totals are derived by adding source age bands15–19 and20–24; shares divide by source same-year state total.",
    "A constant2022state-youth-share future scenario is transparent but not a cohort-component demographic forecast; age-selective migration and ageing can change shares.",
    "Do not apply UN national youth shares to states without labelling national-share proxy. State-specific2022 estimates are available here.",
    "UN2025 and2050 youth values are WPP projections (projection period begins2024), not census counts.",
    "National and state series use different vintages/methods and should not be spliced into a seamless historical time series.",
    "No calibrated state uncertainty interval or ML backtest against independently observed post2006 youth counts is established by this dataset.",
    "Reported2006 age bands and smoothed projection baseline are not identical; changes between2006 and later age shares combine smoothing and assumed demographic processes."
  ]
}